Kokoro
Member
I drew a graph showing .in growth from 2005 till now. Most important, you can see the growth speeds up significantly from August 2011 when the first million was announced.
I also added to the graph my future growth predictions (thin red lines) based on the last announcements:
1. pessimistic - the growth will be passive and the recent acceleration was just a fluctuation. In this prediction we see it reaches 2 millions around May 2013. It is not likely to happen.
2. optimistic - I extended the curve based on the last 2 announcement. Te result is quite shocking and you can see rapid growth beyond any formulated till now expectations. In that variant 5 millions is reached by the end of 2014 (in approx. 21 months from now).
3. mixed - I also used the last 2 announcements but this time I did linear extension instead incremental. Assuming it will be closest to the real growth, we will hit 3 millions .in domains around January 2014. This variant is more realistic although still doesn't include the recent acceleration.
Here is the graph:
Just use your imagination to draw further conclusions
All the values used on the graph are either official announcements (NIXI, IN Registry) or revealed by the .in registrar Mitsu.
1-2005 - 0.007 mil (.co.in)
11-2006 - 0.2 mil
6-2009 - 0.51 mil
3-2010 - 0.61 mil
7-2010 - 0.74 mil
8-2011 - 1.0 mil
10-2011 - 1.1 mil
3-2012 - 1.5 mil
Edit: I forgot that .co.in is older than .in, so that it shouldn't be 0 in 2005. I don't know how many co.in's were registered at the time when .in started. It doesn't affect my predictions, anyway.
Edit2: 1-2005 updated thanks to Mitsu
I also added to the graph my future growth predictions (thin red lines) based on the last announcements:
1. pessimistic - the growth will be passive and the recent acceleration was just a fluctuation. In this prediction we see it reaches 2 millions around May 2013. It is not likely to happen.
2. optimistic - I extended the curve based on the last 2 announcement. Te result is quite shocking and you can see rapid growth beyond any formulated till now expectations. In that variant 5 millions is reached by the end of 2014 (in approx. 21 months from now).
3. mixed - I also used the last 2 announcements but this time I did linear extension instead incremental. Assuming it will be closest to the real growth, we will hit 3 millions .in domains around January 2014. This variant is more realistic although still doesn't include the recent acceleration.
Here is the graph:
Just use your imagination to draw further conclusions
All the values used on the graph are either official announcements (NIXI, IN Registry) or revealed by the .in registrar Mitsu.
1-2005 - 0.007 mil (.co.in)
11-2006 - 0.2 mil
6-2009 - 0.51 mil
3-2010 - 0.61 mil
7-2010 - 0.74 mil
8-2011 - 1.0 mil
10-2011 - 1.1 mil
3-2012 - 1.5 mil
Edit: I forgot that .co.in is older than .in, so that it shouldn't be 0 in 2005. I don't know how many co.in's were registered at the time when .in started. It doesn't affect my predictions, anyway.
Edit2: 1-2005 updated thanks to Mitsu
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